So a solution could look like this: Russia to dispense with the annexation of the Crimea, in return granted Ukraine the Crimea a strengthened autonomy. The concept of the former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger even arrives in Moscow.

The tug of war for power in the Crimea is deteriorating further : Just the regional parliament of Crimea declared its independence – in anticipation of the referendum, which is scheduled for the coming weekend . The step was to create the legal basis for accession to the Russian Federation, announced the Speaker of Parliament in Simferopol.

Whether it really happen? The Ukrainian transitional government in Kiev does not recognize the pro-Russian Crimean parliament and also the planned referendum declared illegal – as well as the EU and the U.S. . The counter position represents Russia and the Duma will discuss in the coming week about legislative changes that will allow a recording of the Crimea to the Russian Federation .

The discussion is , however, no longer determined only by these extreme positions . Especially in the east and southeast of the country voices are getting louder for a federal structure of Ukraine. So far, all the Ukrainian President Yanukovich have to be based on a centralized power structure . The repeatedly shouted displeasure produced in several regions.

The debate about a possible Federation has now got a new impetus – a proposal by former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger.

Crimean Unlawful Referandum:Kissinger’s four-point plan

In an essay for the “Washington Post”, he wrote, the “root cause” in this deeply divided country is the repeated attempt of Ukrainian policy makers, to “impose unruly parts of the country their will.” Neither Russia nor the West, his thesis could win in a showdown for the Ukraine. Moscow should accept that the attempt was useless, “the Ukraine to force in a satellite role and to move Russia’s borders again.”

An experienced diplomat, made ​​four proposals to resolve the crisis:

* First, the Ukraine chooses freely their political and economic association, also with Europe.

* Second, the Ukraine waived joining NATO.

* Thirdly, the Ukraine takes an international as Finland a neutral position.

* Fourth, Russia waived annexation of the Crimea – in turn strengthens the autonomy of Kiev Peninsula.

Tatjana Marmasowa, Vice-Rector of the University in Donetsk and politician of the now opposition to counted Party of Regions, welcomes the proposal Kissinger. “A federalization of Ukraine can prevent the decay, because the centralism has outlived its usefulness,” said political science professor. With fellow party members and civic organizations she now wants to organize round tables, on which you plan discussed on a future federal Constitution of Ukraine.

A constitutional reform is also part of the agreements signed with the three European foreign ministers in Kiev agreements of 21 February. Marmasowa, an expert on Germany, for more than ten years, advocates have a federalism concept according to the German federal states. “But have rejected all previous presidents, thus causing the current crisis of the state,” says the deputies of the city council of Donetsk.

Crimean Unlawful Referandum:Ziindler as a consultant

Henry Kissinger’s idea has been registered attentive in Moscow . The compromise proposal comes in a situation in which hardliners on both sides of the process of further fuel to the fire.

So now operates the former Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili as a consultant to the political leadership. This is a man from whom the current Georgian Premier says he is an ” adventurer ” . Saakashvili ran to attack the breakaway pro-Russian Caucasus republic of South Ossetia in August 2008. The result was a five days of permanent war , in which about 800 people were killed . Something other than advice to the escalation can be expected from Saakashvili hardly .

A war to the Crimea but could take much longer and killing more people than the war in Georgia in 2008 . The situation is also aggravated by the fact that in Russia now have hotheads boom. By the State Duma encourages the new government of the Crimea, by referendum on 16 March to decide on the accession of the Russian Federation, Moscow is to maneuver yourself into a dead end .

Such an accession would not only create permanent international tensions , but also in the Crimea itself, because a significant minority of the Crimean dwellers, especially Crimean Tatars , but also Ukrainians and even some Russians , is against annexation of the peninsula to Russia.

Many Russians and Russian-speaking Ukrainians in the east of the country, like the Donetsk region, the Crimea want not leave Russia. Even the pro-Russian Communist Party of Ukraine (KPU) advertises on leaflets “for the territorial integrity of our country.” With its annexation plans in the Crimea, as a KPU spokesperson in Donetsk, Putin “like a mother who surprisingly takes over the command of the son in the family,” behave.

In Moscow moderate Experts warn of a violent boundary shift. Thus, the political analyst Maxim Shevchenko criticized plans to take over the Crimea. Annexations, as Shevchenko in the weekly newspaper “Argumenty i Fakty”, were “no method in the world today”. For the Crimea he recommends that “the form of maximum autonomy”. As Shevchenko think quite a few diplomats and even veterans of the security services, the bloody experience of Caucasian wars of secession in mind in Moscow.

Crimean Unlawful Referandum:No Kiev centralism more

Similarly, many residents of the Ukrainian East express these days, if you ask them according to their wishes. The vast majority of Russian-speaking regions of Ukraine will no cleavage and no connection, but guarantees of the Russian language, cultural autonomy and a federal state.
A state like him have Swiss cantons or German-speaking South Tyrol in Italy, probably would be attractive to the majority of Russian-speaking population in the east and south-east of Ukraine.

Kissinger knows that the consequence of his recommendation a “balanced discontent” would be. Because no one would go forth as the sole winner of the conflict in which there can be no winners, only losers.

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